Is the Election Causing Huge Volatility Spike for November VIX Contracts?

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By Derek Moore. Discovered by Player FM and our community — copyright is owned by the publisher, not Player FM, and audio is streamed directly from their servers. Hit the Subscribe button to track updates in Player FM, or paste the feed URL into other podcast apps.

Your starting to hear about the options market pricing in huge volatility for November. This week, there was talk about the December contract getting bid up in case of a contested election. What does that mean? And how did volatility react during the Bush vs. Gore Florida recount and supreme court decision in the 2000 Presidential Election?

VIX Futures

VIX before and after Bush v Gore 2000 election

November VIX futures vs October and December

How much more volatility is the November futures pricing in?

2000 contested election and volatility

How to look up monthly VIX futures contracts

Mentioned in this Episode:

Derek Moore’s book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3iKpRcx

Podcast reviewing historical stock market returns by presidents and parties https://brokenpiechart.libsyn.com/surprising-historical-returns-by-presidents-senate-and-house-by-party-reviewing-the-13-keys-to-the-white-house-for-2020-predictions-for-the-2020-election-president-and-senate

Contact Derek www.razorwealth.com

94 episodes