Episode 04 - Being Right


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By Adam Harstad. Discovered by Player FM and our community — copyright is owned by the publisher, not Player FM, and audio is streamed directly from their servers. Hit the Subscribe button to track updates in Player FM, or paste the feed URL into other podcast apps.

Welcome to Fantasy Football, in Theory, a brand new fantasy football podcast dedicated to high-level fantasy strategy in the abstract.

What do you do when one of your cornerstone beliefs is suddenly called into question? In the quest to be right, what does it mean to be wrong?

In our quest to answer that question, we'll discuss stupid bar bets, obtuse statistical biases, overconfident basketball researchers, the history of the philosophy of science, (not to be confused with the history of science or the philosophy of science), and go over a long list of stupid things that I have believed.

Here is a link to Believing We're Right isn't Being Right, the essay that inspired the episode: https://dynastytheory.blogspot.com/2015/07/believing-were-right-is-not-being-right.html

And, as promised, here's a list of things I've written about being wrong:

Musings on Confirmation Bias - http://subscribers.footballguys.com/apps/article.php?article=HarstadDiT1

A Thought Experiment to Ruin Your Day - http://subscribers.footballguys.com/apps/article.php?article=HarstadDiT35

Harvin Runs a Jet Sweep - http://subscribers.footballguys.com/apps/article.php?article=HarstadDiP7

The Wrong Way to Build a Dynasty - http://subscribers.footballguys.com/apps/article.php?article=HarstadWrongWay15

We're Probably Thinking about Age the Wrong Way - http://subscribers.footballguys.com/apps/article.php?article=HarstadMortalityTables

Also, a piece on the tendency of analytics to sometimes overconfidently assert that because they failed to find evidence of something, it must not exist - http://subscribers.footballguys.com/apps/article.php?article=HarstadDiT25

If you enjoy my work, you can find it exclusively at www.footballguys.com. An archive of links to past articles of mine is also available at my blog, http://dynastytheory.blogspot.com/2014/08/a-link-to-all-my-writings.html.

If you have any other questions or comments, or you'd like to submit a topic for a future show, I can be reached via email at FantasyInTheory@Gmail.com, or on Twitter at @AdamHarstad.

Thanks for listening!

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